Neutrality dispute: Lithuania as the scapegoat, China as the bully, and the US playing “three birds with one stone” badly
Against the backdrop of a decreasing number of “countries with diplomatic relations with Taiwan”, Lithuania bucked the trend and took a series of wrong words and deeds on Taiwan-related issues, which ultimately led to its own predicament in economy, trade and diplomacy.At present, the efforts of the United States to safeguard The so-called “diplomatic rights and interests” of Taiwan on formal diplomatic occasions have basically failed. After a series of difficulties, Lithuania has to admit that it is “a mistake” to manipulate the Taiwan issue.In America’s calculations, this is a three-bird plan that could cause trouble on the mainland, test eu unity and drive a wedge between China and the EU.It looks like a good idea for the United States, Taiwan and Taiwan, but it may be difficult to implement.When the plan was finally implemented, however, Lithuania became the fall guy, Taiwan became the sucker, and the three benefits that America wanted for itself seemed less obvious.Lithuania will be shaped as a so-called “model” in the US plan, but from a practical point of view, due to the diplomatic relations between Lithuania and China into twists and turns, leading to a sharp drop in European investment in Lithuania, Lithuania’s current economic and diplomatic difficulties have intensified.At present, there are conflicting views between the Lithuanian President and cabinet on China-related policies.The Lithuanian president hopes the cabinet will change its current foreign policy and properly repair diplomatic relations with China.However, the Lithuanian cabinet represented by the Lithuanian Foreign Minister refused to admit mistakes and continued to run on the road of anti-China manipulation.The United States also wanted to test the EU with the neutrality dispute, but the EU offered no solution, only posturing.The Foreign ministers of Germany and France and other countries all said that measures should be considered to implement the “anti-coercion”, and from the actual actions of the EU, this “anti-coercion” strategy is aimed at the United States rather than China.There are many people in the EU who think that Lithuania should not get involved in the “one China” affair, which will bring the EU and Lithuania into trouble.As for Taiwan, the participation of European countries and the strengthening of the “internationalization” trend of the Taiwan issue would be like drinking poison to quench thirst for the “Taiwan independence” forces on the island.The more intertwined the Taiwan issue becomes, the more it will strengthen China’s appetite for a quick resolution, a dangerous provocation that could tip the Taiwan strait into conflict.Although the above-mentioned us plan to kill three birds with one stone does seem to create more troubles for China, it does not deal with the root cause.Instead, the mainland and the EU have deepened their understanding under such American gamesmanship, and the cracks in the US-EU relationship have begun to show.As for Lithuania and Taiwan, small chessmen cannot make big waves.Both the US and Europe have serious problems of their own right now and are likely to be overwhelmed, at least for a long time.As an important ally of the United States, The dividends Europe shared from the Cold War period and the early end of the Cold War have been exhausted. How to adapt to the changes in the world and effectively defend its own interests has become an issue that European politicians have to focus on.”America First” has made the EU no longer expect much benefit from the US. If it is still tightly tied to the US, it may even seriously damage the interests of the EU. It is not only tied up and caught in a dilemma in geopolitics, but also likely to disintegrate due to increased internal pressure and contradictions.Facing the refugee crisis, terrorism crisis, Ukraine crisis and other regional security challenges, the EU urgently needs to have its own independent and effective defense force and a more coordinated policy orientation.In the changing world, the interests of the US and the EU are unlikely to overlap as much as they did in the past, and they are unlikely to jointly cope with the so-called “challenge from China” as they did with the Soviet Union during the Cold War.Today, although the dominant advantage of the United States over Europe has been maintained on the whole, there is no doubt that it is gradually weakening, at least it is no longer reflected in all directions and fields, and it is difficult to fundamentally reverse the tendency of the increasingly slackening of the transatlantic ties.As the difference of interests increases, the goal is bound to disperse.U.S. government biden to repair damage from larger transatlantic partnership to make many new attempt, but influenced by its domestic politics, to realize the reverse is not a easy thing, even in a long time in the “no trump trump” will continue to face the domestic political tension of extrusion, severely restricted foreign policy choice space.The independent defense of the EU is an objective requirement of the development of the situation. In recent years, franco-German coordination has increased, which is a response to the US’s efforts to suppress France and Germany and draw in central and Eastern Europe. It is also an effort of the two countries to safeguard the European integration process in the face of increasingly complex situations.It is easy to understand why Germany and France, as European leaders, are stressing the need to build a “strategically autonomous” Europe. They have discovered that America is “both co-opting and more wary” of Europe.As soon as Germany and France declared their intention to promote European strategic independence, the United States immediately began to instil anti-China sentiment in central and Eastern European countries, and even heated up the Russia-Ukraine issue at any cost, leading to military confrontation between Russia and NATO and worsening the geopolitical environment in Europe.Europe, which has been repeatedly manipulated by the United States, has come to understand that the more the United States wants Europe to do, the more carefully Europe has to choose what to do. The current development of China-Eu relations has entered the deep water zone, and the biggest obstacle in the China-Eu investment treaty is the conservative pro-America in Europe.China’s development does not pose a threat to Europe as a whole, but provides more opportunities.A simple trade-off between China and the US is not really in Europe’s interest.For Sino-AMERICAN relations, Europe has more to gain from a moderate degree of detachment, maintaining the necessary initiative, and at times making no choice is better than making one.The basic stability of sino-European relations determines that it is difficult for the United States to divide sino-European relations.Lithuania not only want to change the “horse”, represented by Lithuania’s need to make their own interests, international political forces in Taiwan “internationalization” situation saw great opportunities to make themselves, want to encourage Taiwan increasingly “internationalization”, the international political power is to use the Taiwan issue to make more of their own interests.But when Lithuania got into the game, it found it was simply not big enough to play such a dangerous game.Unrepentant Lithuania for mainland China not only want to change the plot of “horse”, but also to let other countries alert “typical case” – endless in China’s internal affairs and core interests provoke the Chinese government will lead to what end, please you look at Lithuania, at least in the United States the botched “kill three birds with one stone”,The Chinese government has succeeded.